Risk Guard Protocol/
Capital Curve Simulator
TL;DR
Risk management is best understood through simulation, not theory. This interactive Monte Carlo simulator runs 1,000 randomised trade paths based on your system parameters — revealing the mathematical reality of your edge before you risk real capital.
Capital Curve Simulator — Monte Carlo
1000 PATHSAdjust the sliders and observe how your system's mathematics shapes the trajectory of your capital across 1,000 simulated trade paths.
Expected Value Formula
50% win rate
1 : 2.0
1% of capital
Positive edge
Expected Value
+0.000%
per trade
Risk of Ruin
0%
ruin probability
Breakeven Win%
33.3%
min. skuteczność
Profit Factor
1.5
wymagany ≥ 1.0
Capital curve distribution — median + P10–P90 range
This is exactly why LiquidMind's PPF engine reduces position size when performance degrades — the algorithm detects a declining Profit Factor and cuts risk before a statistical losing streak compounds into a serious drawdown. Use this simulator to stress-test your target parameters before going live.